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Ford's revenue slipped and U.S. sales fell nearly 10% in H1. The company raised its full-year profit outlook anyway, betting that high-margin trucks and off-road trims keep carrying the business while a genuinely affordable EV arrives in 2027.

Ford's Q2 revenue slipped 4%, and U.S. sales fell nearly 10% in the first half of the year, driven by the Novelis supplier fire and the phaseout of models like the Escape.

📊 The Numbers

  • Full-year EBIT forecast raised to $10-11 billion, beating expectations

  • Shares up roughly 7% following the earnings report

  • Off-road truck and SUV trims: nearly 25% of U.S. sales

  • Next affordable EV: a $30,000 pickup targeted for 2027 on Ford's new Universal EV Platform

Every dollar must earn durable returns and drive profitable growth.

— Jim Farley, CEO, Ford

Want the full conversation?

🎙️ Listen to today's Automotive State of the Union episode for the complete discussion, additional context, and the conversations that shaped our perspective.

Off-Road Trims Are Carrying the Business Right Now

CFO Sherry House says customers remain resilient despite inflation and high interest rates, and the data backs that up directly. Nearly a quarter of U.S. sales are now higher-margin off-road trims, not the base models affordability pressure would predict. That's a real signal that premium configurations are proving more resistant to rate and price pressure than the broader lineup.

The $30,000 EV Bet Coming in 2027

Ford is simultaneously expanding into battery energy storage and defense projects, alongside its new Universal EV Platform. The $30,000 electric pickup expected in 2027 is a direct bet that affordability, not range or tech specs, is what unlocks the next wave of EV buyers.

What This Means for Your Store

If you carry Ford, this is worth a real look at how you're merchandising trim levels right now. The data says customers are reaching for off-road and higher trims even under real financial pressure, not just settling for base models. Don't assume affordability concerns mean customers only want the cheapest option in front of them.

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